Club Friendlies 3
Jul 22, 2026 4.30pm
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes vs La Roche - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 4.00pm
Lorient 1 - 0 Nantes

La Roche

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 5.00pm
Le Mans 2 - 3 La Roche

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nantes win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for La Roche has a probability of 32.35% and a draw has a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest La Roche win is 0-1 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).

Result

Nantes 41.16% (+0.04)
Draw 26.49% (+0.04)
La Roche 32.35% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.54% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.21% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.79% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.51% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.49% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.25% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 71.75% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.07% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.93% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Nantes 30.94% (-0.06)
Draw 42.61% (+0.04)
La Roche 26.45% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Nantes 48.54% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.3% (+0.02)
La Roche 43.16% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.81% (-0.23)
Equal 8 12.3% (-0.03)
Under 8 34.89% (+0.26)
Over 9 40.78% (-0.18)
Equal 9 12.03% (-0.06)
Under 9 47.19% (+0.23)
Over 10.5 30.02% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 69.98% (+0.13)

Nantes Goals

Over 1.5 39.99% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 60.01% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.97% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.03% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.21% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.79% (-0.02)

La Roche Goals

Over 0.5 66.05%
Under 0.5 33.95%
Over 1.5 32.74%
Under 1.5 67.26%
Over 2.5 12.45% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.55% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.99% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.01% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Nantes 41.15%
Draw 26.49%
La Roche 32.35%
Nantes
1-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 6.02% (+0.02)
Total : 41.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.3% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 26.49%
La Roche
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.8% (+0.01)
Total : 32.35%