Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 2
Montpellier

Casseres Jr (59')
Canvot (47')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sagnan (62'), Maamma (83')
Nzingoula (17'), Chotard (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Toulouse
Saturday, January 18 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Monaco
Friday, January 17 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Montpellier HSC
54.66% ( -0.8)	24.4% ( 0.34)	20.94% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 48.86% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.76% (

-0.82)

52.24% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

-0.7)

73.94% (

0.71)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

-0.61)

19.03% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4% (

-1.02)

50.6% (

1.03)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.35% (

0.01)

39.65% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.67% (

0.01)

76.33% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 54.64%

Montpellier HSC 20.94%

Draw 24.4%

Toulouse	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.64%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.94%