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Ligue 1

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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Montpellier

Metz
0 - 1
Montpellier


Diallo (53'), Udol (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esteve (9')
Jullien (74'), Lecomte (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawMontpellier HSC
41.3% (-0.745 -0.75)26.05% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)32.65% (0.791 0.79)
Both teams to score 53.39% (0.421 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.421 0.42)50.95% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.37 0.37)72.82% (-0.37 -0.37)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-0.191 -0.19)24.39% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)58.81% (0.266 0.27)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.73299999999999 0.73)29.38% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (0.89 0.89)65.36% (-0.89 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Metz 41.3%
    Montpellier HSC 32.65%
    Draw 26.04%
MetzDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.65%

How you voted: Metz vs Montpellier

Metz
35.3%
Draw
50.0%
Montpellier HSC
14.7%
34
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Montpellier
2-2
Metz
Souquet (79'), Wahi (90+1')
Oyongo (29'), Leroy (58')
Delaine (24'), Mafouta (70')
Pajot (51'), Sarr (66'), Lamkel Ze (68')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 16
Metz
1-3
Montpellier
De Preville (70')
Sarr (34'), Bronn (36')
Savanier (36'), Mavididi (45+1'), Wahi (48')
Mollet (72'), Ristic (83')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 23
Metz
1-1
Montpellier
Sarr (47')
Boye (9'), Leya Iseka (33'), Maiga (74'), Centonze (76'), Bronn (82'), Ambrose (90+1')
Laborde (70')
Congre (58')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-2
Metz

Mollet (39'), Mavididi (64'), Laborde (76')
Leya Iseka (50' pen.), Maiga (90+1')
Leya Iseka (7'), Maiga (30'), Delaine (38'), Antonetti (65')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 23
Montpellier
1-1
Metz
Savanier (13')
Souquet (14'), Ferri (39')
Boulaya (79')
N'Doram (64')