Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 0
Montpellier

Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Reims	38	-1	46
13	Montpellier HSC	38	-12	43
14	Angers	38	-11	41

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
64.97%	19.83%	15.2%

Both teams to score 52.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.18%

41.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.77%

64.23%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.89%

12.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.32%

37.68%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.79%

40.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16%

76.84%

Score Analysis

Lens 64.97%

Montpellier HSC 15.2%

Draw 19.83%

Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.85% 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.17% 5-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.56% Total : 64.97%	1-1 @ 9.37% 0-0 @ 4.87% 2-2 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.83%	0-1 @ 4.44% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.81% Total : 15.2%