Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Nov 8, 2026 4.15pm
Stade de La Pincenardière

Le Mans vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 7.45pm
Troyes 2 - 0 Le Mans
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 4.15pm
Paris FC 3 - 1 Monaco
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Paris Brunner

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monaco win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Le Mans has a probability of 30.34% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Le Mans win is 1-0 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.1%).

Result

Le Mans 30.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 26.3%
Monaco 43.36% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.69%
Under 1.5 26.31%
Over 2.5 49.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.54%
Under 3.5 72.46%
Over 4.5 14.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.07% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Le Mans 28.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 42.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Monaco 29.54% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Le Mans 43.7%
No Goal 7.58%
Monaco 48.72%

Corners

Over 8 53.22%
Equal 8 12.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 34.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 41.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 46.78%
Over 10.5 30.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 69.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 31.54% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 68.46% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.56% ▼ (-0.01)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 74.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 25.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 41.46% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 58.54% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 17.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Le Mans 30.34%
Draw 26.31%
Monaco 43.36%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-1 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 30.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.31%
Monaco
0-1 @ 10.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 43.36%