Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco2 - 0Lyon
We said: Monaco 1-1 Lyon
Monaco are certainly the favourites after Lyon's recent drop off in form, but the visitors still have plenty of quality to cause the hosts problems in this one. A draw may do little to help both sides, but given that there is not much to separate the sides on paper, that looks a likely outcome here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
45.57% ( 0) | 22.48% ( 0) | 31.95% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
