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Ligue 1

Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Lyon

Monaco
2 - 0
Lyon

Minamino (62'), Zakaria (68')
Camara (59'), Diatta (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mata (9'), Fonseca (42'), Almada (45+2'), Niakhate (90+2'), Tagliafico (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, May 3 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLyon
45.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.34% (-0.012 -0.01)34.66% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.39% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)56.61% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)15.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (-0.012 -0.01)21.9% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)55.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 45.57%
    Lyon 31.95%
    Draw 22.48%
MonacoDrawLyon
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lyon

Monaco
48.6%
Draw
40.0%
Lyon
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 2
Lyon
0-2
Monaco

Tolisso (90'), Mata (90+6')
Ben Seghir (65'), Camara (80')
Salisu (44'), Camara (90+4')
Camara (90+7')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Lyon
3-2
Monaco
Lacazette (22'), Benrahma (26'), Fofana (84')
Benrahma (38')
Ben Yedder (1', 60')
Minamino (25'), Ouattara (47'), Diatta (69')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Monaco
0-1
Lyon

Singo (29')
Jeffinho (85')
Mata (31'), Henrique (90+5')
> Preview
May 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lyon
3-1
Monaco
Lacazette (38'), Caqueret (57'), Cherki (78')
Ben Yedder (2' pen.)
Golovin (31'), Jakobs (55'), Vanderson (63')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
2-1
Lyon
Badiashile (55'), Maripan (63')
Toko Ekambi (81')
> Preview