Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Enea stadion
  • Leo Bengtsson 70' goal
  • goal Timur Tuterov 2'
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 41'

Lech Poznan vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Sunderland

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Lech Poznan 44.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.05%
Sunderland 33.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.32%
Under 1.5 16.68%
Over 2.5 63.71%
Under 2.5 36.29%
Over 3.5 41.25%
Under 3.5 58.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 26.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 73.24% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 39.51%
Draw 38.55%
Sunderland 21.94%

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 58.48%
No Goal 4.11%
Sunderland 37.41%

Corners

Over 8 62.05%
Equal 8 10.32%
Under 8 27.63%
Over 9 51.18%
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 37.95%
Over 10.5 40.61%
Under 10.5 59.39%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 48.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 74.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.44% ▲ (+0.01)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 68.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 31.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 82.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 44.32%
Draw 22.06%
Sunderland 33.62%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 8.44%
1-0 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 11.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 44.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74%
2-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.11%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.06%
Sunderland
1-2 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.42%
Other @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.62%

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