Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Willem II
Mar 9, 2025 11.15am
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
Utrecht
  • Lambert Boris 17' goal
  • Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson 83' goal
  • goal Sebastien Haller 67'
  • goal Noah Ohio 75'
  • goal Adrian Blake 85'
  • yellowcard Adrian Blake 86'
  • yellowcard Noah Ohio 87'

Willem II vs FC Utrecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 3.45pm
Sparta 4 - 0 Willem II
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jesse Bosch

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 3.30pm
Utrecht 1 - 0 NAC Breda
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Paxten Aaronson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result

Willem II 23.02% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 22.15% ▼ (-0.18)
FC Utrecht 54.83% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.94% ▲ (+0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.76% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 2.5 40.24% ▼ (-1.01)
Over 3.5 37.39% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 3.5 62.61% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 4.5 20.08% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 4.5 79.92% ▼ (-0.80)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 69.04% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 0.5 30.96% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 1.5 32.74% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 1.5 67.26% ▼ (-0.81)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5 85.37% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 0.5 14.63% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 57.24% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 42.76% ▼ (-0.68)

Score analysis

Willem II 23.02%
Draw 22.14%
FC Utrecht 54.83%
Willem II
2-1 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 23.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.14%
FC Utrecht
1-2 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.30)
0-2 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 54.83%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Utrecht
Sep 21, 2024 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadion Galgenwaard
Willem II
  • Raffael Behounek 11' goal
  • Noah Ohio 37' goal
  • Souffian Elkarouani 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson 53' goal
  • Paxten Aaronson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Cisse Sandra 29'
  • goal Cisse Sandra 43'
  • yellowcard Jesse Bosch 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ringo Meerveld 87'
  • yellowcard Amar Abdirahman Ahmed 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Willem II
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Utrecht
  • Jizz Hornkamp 8' goal
  • Pol Llonch 49' yellowcard
  • Dries Saddiki 53' goal
  • Joris van Overeem 73' goal
  • yellowcard Simon Gustafson 56'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Utrecht
Oct 31, 2021 3.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Willem II
  • Bart Ramselaar 10' goal
  • Bart Ramselaar 25' goal
  • Adam Maher 38' yellowcard
  • Bart Ramselaar 67' goal
  • Mark van der Maarel 79' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Mallahi 83' goal
  • Joris van Overeem 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Leeroy Owusu 6'
  • goal Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 35'
  • yellowcard Dries Saddiki 72'
  • yellowcard Max Svensson 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Utrecht
May 1, 2021 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Willem II
  • Sander van de Streek 4' goal
  • Adam Maher 33' yellowcard
  • Sven van Beek 45'+4' goal
  • Gyrano Kerk 68' goal
  • Simon Gustafson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Holmen 34'
  • yellowcard Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 37'
  • goal Sebastian Holmen 57'
  • goal Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 82'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Willem II
Feb 19, 2021 7.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT
Utrecht
  • Lindon Selahi 77' yellowcard
  • goal Hidde ter Avest 3'
  • goal Sander van de Streek 11'
  • goal Sander van de Streek 19'
  • goal Bart Ramselaar 47'
  • goal Gyrano Kerk 69'
  • goal Mark van der Maarel 86'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Willem II
Feb 16, 2020 3.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Willem II Stadion
Utrecht
  • Bart Nieuwkoop 78' yellowcard
  • Paul Gladon 90' goal
  • goal Jean-Christophe Bahebeck 4'
  • yellowcard Joris van Overeem 90'

Form Data

Sparta 4 - 0 Willem II
Willem II 1 - 3 Groningen
PSV 1 - 1 Willem II
Willem II 0 - 2 AZ
RKC Waalwijk 2 - 0 Willem II
Willem II 1 - 1 Feyenoord
Utrecht 1 - 0 NAC Breda
PSV 2 - 2 Utrecht
Utrecht 0 - 1 Almere City
Heracles 2 - 0 Utrecht
PEC Zwolle 3 - 3 Utrecht
Heracles 1 - 1 Utrecht