Australian A-League Gameweek 29
Western Utd
May 3, 2025 9.00am
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Simonds Stadium
Auckland FC
  • Michael Ruhs 18' goal
  • Noah Botic 23' goal
  • Angus Thurgate 49' goal
  • Michael Ruhs 57' yellowcard
  • Angus Thurgate 74' yellowcard
  • Abel Walatee 78' yellowcard
  • Oliver Lavale 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Francis De Vries 30'
  • goal Neyder Moreno 62'
  • goal Jesse Randall 90'+4'

Western United vs Auckland FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 8.00am
Western Utd 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Noah Botic

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 6.00am
Auckland FC 1 - 0 Perth Glory
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Guillermo May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result

Western United 38.74% ▼ (-1.41)
Draw 25.73% ▲ (+0.66)
Auckland FC 35.54% ▲ (+0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.1% ▼ (-2.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.97% ▼ (-2.84)
Under 2.5 49.03% ▲ (+2.84)
Over 3.5 28.89% ▼ (-2.63)
Under 3.5 71.11% ▲ (+2.63)
Over 4.5 13.91% ▼ (-1.83)
Under 4.5 86.09% ▲ (+1.82)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 75.13% ▼ (-2.00)
Under 0.5 24.87% ▲ (+2.00)
Over 1.5 40.52% ▼ (-2.86)
Under 1.5 59.47% ▲ (+2.86)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5 73.34% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 0.5 26.66% ▲ (+0.91)
Over 1.5 38.09% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 1.5 61.9% ▲ (+1.22)

Score analysis

Western United 38.74%
Draw 25.72%
Auckland FC 35.54%
Western United
1-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.54)
2-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.34)
3-0 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.30)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.21)
4-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% ▲ (+0.42)
0-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.74)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
Auckland FC
0-1 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.78)
1-2 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.38)
1-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.20)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 35.54%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Western Utd
Feb 15, 2025 7.00am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Simonds Stadium
Auckland FC
  • Jordan Lauton 40' yellowcard
  • Jordan Lauton 40' yellowcard
  • Ben Garuccio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Ben Garuccio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Guillermo May 44'
  • goal Guillermo May 44'
  • goal Max Mata 45'+2'
  • goal Max Mata 45'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Auckland FC
Dec 21, 2024 4.00am
0
4
HT : 0 6
FT Mount Smart Stadium
Western Utd
  • Felipe Gallegos 21' yellowcard
  • Felipe Gallegos 21' yellowcard
  • goal Riku Danzaki 17'
  • goal Riku Danzaki 17'
  • goal Noah Botic 23'
  • goal Noah Botic 23'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 34'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 34'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Imai 80'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Imai 80'
  • goal Matthew Grimaldi 87'
  • goal Matthew Grimaldi 87'

Form Data

Western Utd 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Brisbane Roar 2 - 1 Western Utd
Western Sydney 2 - 0 Western Utd
Western Utd 3 - 1 Perth Glory
Newcastle Jets 2 - 6 Western Utd
Western Utd 4 - 1 Wellington
Auckland FC 1 - 0 Perth Glory
Victory 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Sydney FC 2 - 2 Auckland FC
Auckland FC 1 - 1 Western Sydney
Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Auckland FC 2 - 2 Central Coast