Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.