Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
  • goal Michael Olise 23'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 32'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 38'
  • goal Harry Kane 57'
  • goal Michael Olise 60'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 65'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Pavlovic 77'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 77'

Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 4.30pm
Mainz 1 - 2 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Jens Stage

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 5.30pm
Holstein Kiel 1 - 6 Bayern
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Werder Bremen 15.49% (+0.18)
Draw 17.4% (+0.12)
Bayern Munich 67.11% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.58% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.65% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 29.35% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 49.59% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 50.4% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 30.37% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 69.63% (+0.22)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 68.11% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 31.88% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 31.67% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 68.33% (-0.09)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 91.87% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 8.13% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 71.47% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 28.53% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Werder Bremen 15.49%
Draw 17.4%
Bayern Munich 67.11%
Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 4.25% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 2.96% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.69% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 15.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.44% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.33% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.4%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.33% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.16% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 6.83% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.5% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 4.9% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.29% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 2.8% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 2.46% (-0.04)
0-5 @ 2.15% (-0.04)
2-5 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 67.11%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Joshua Kimmich 17' yellowcard
  • Matthijs de Ligt 74' yellowcard
  • goal Justin Njinmah 25'
  • goal Mitchell Weiser 59'
  • yellowcard Romano Schmid 70'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Weserstadion
  • Marvin Ducksch 20' yellowcard
  • Senne Lynen 56' yellowcard
  • goal Leroy Sane 4'
  • yellowcard Kim Min-jae 55'
  • goal Harry Kane 74'
  • goal Leroy Sane 90'
  • goal Mathys Tel 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Niklas Schmidt 87' goal
  • goal Serge Gnabry 62'
  • goal Leroy Sane 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
6
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Jamal Musiala 6' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 22' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 26' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 28' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 82' goal
  • Mathys Tel 84' goal
  • goal Anthony Jung 10'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Joshua Sargent 70' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 86' goal
  • goal Leon Goretzka 22'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 35'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Benjamin Pavard 15' yellowcard
  • Kingsley Coman 62' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bittencourt 32'
  • yellowcard Ludwig Augustinsson 43'
  • goal Maximilian Eggestein 45'
  • yellowcard Florian Kohfeldt 80'
  • yellowcard Jiri Pavlenka 90'+4'