Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Moussa Sissoko 27' goal
  • Imran Louza 42' yellowcard
  • Egil Selvik 72' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 48'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 88'

Watford vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
Watford 1 - 2 Millwall
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Swansea 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Liam Cullen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result

Watford 42.85% (+1.35)
Draw 26.7% (-0.33)
Swansea City 30.45% (-1.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.51% (+0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.73% (+0.91)
Under 2.5 54.27% (-0.91)
Over 3.5 24.34% (+0.76)
Under 3.5 75.66% (-0.76)
Over 4.5 10.94% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 89.06% (-0.47)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 74.91% (+1.12)
Under 0.5 25.09% (-1.12)
Over 1.5 40.22% (+1.52)
Under 1.5 59.78% (-1.52)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 67.43% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 32.57% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 30.89% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 69.11% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Watford 42.85%
Draw 26.69%
Swansea City 30.45%
Watford
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.76% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 7.81% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.04% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 3.6% (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.4% (+0.12)
4-0 @ 1.25% (+0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.69%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.40)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.27)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.45%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Myles Peart-Harris 35' goal
  • Matt Grimes 40' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 44' yellowcard
  • Myles Peart-Harris 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 26'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 45'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jake Livermore 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ryan Porteous 57' goal
  • Ryan Andrews 67' yellowcard
  • Ryan Porteous 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Andrews 18' (OG)
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 32'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 36'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • yellowcard Jake Livermore 30'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 73'
  • goal Ken Sema 82'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 86'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joel Piroe 39' goal
  • Liam Cullen 74' goal
  • Joel Piroe 78' goal
  • Joel Latibeaudiere 87' goal
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ismaila Sarr 34' goal
  • goal Olivier Ntcham 52'
  • goal Ben Cabango 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Andre Gray 56' goal
  • Isaac Success 87' goal