/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fwallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ficelog.png)
-
Liam Cullen
32'
-
Liam Cullen
45'+1'
-
Craig Bellamy
59'
-
Brennan Johnson
65'
-
Daniel James
68'
-
Brennan Johnson
72'
-
Harry Wilson
79'
-
Sorba Thomas
88'
-
Andri Gudjohnsen
7'
-
Alfons Sampsted
30'
-
Valgeir Fridriksson
66'
-
Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson
72'
-
Arnor Ingvi Traustason
72'
-
Isak Bergmann Johannesson
84'
Wales vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F46%2Fcraig-bellamy.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
Result
Wales
64.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
20.9%
▼
(-0.03)
Iceland
14.93%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
48.34%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.91%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
47.09%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
30.67%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
69.33%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
15.14%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
84.86%
▼
(-0.08)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5
86.03%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
13.96%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
58.54%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
41.45%
▼
(-0.08)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
56.18%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
43.81%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
20.03%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
79.97%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Wales
64.16%
Draw
20.9%
Iceland
14.93%
Wales
1-0
@
12.04%
▼
(-0.05)
2-0 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 64.16%
2-0 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 64.16%
Draw
1-1
@
9.94%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.9%
0-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.9%
Iceland
0-1
@
5.05%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08%
1-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.93%
1-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08%
1-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.93%
Head to Head
-
Stefan Teitur Thordarson
28'
-
Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson
32'
-
Logi Tomasson
69'
-
Danny Ward
72'
-
Brennan Johnson
11'
-
Harry Wilson
29'
-
Brennan Johnson
32'
-
Connor Roberts
41'
-
Kieffer Moore
51'
-
Jordan James
59'
-
Danny Ward
90'+3'