Nov 19, 2024 1.00am

4

2

HT : 6 0

FT CityPark

Christian Pulisic 14'
Christian Pulisic 14'
Christian Pulisic 33'
Di'Shon Bernard 33'
Ricardo Pepi 42'
Ricardo Pepi 42'
Timothy Weah 56'
Timothy Weah 56'

Demarai Gray 53'
Demarai Gray 53'
Demarai Gray 68'
Demarai Gray 68'

USA vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

USA vs. Jamaica - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: USA vs. Jamaica - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 16 Nov 2024 05:35

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

W
L
W
D
L
L

CONCACAF Nations League

W

Last game

Nov 15, 2024 1.00am

Jamaica 0 - 1 USA

Jamaica

All competitions

L
D
W
W
D
L

CONCACAF Nations League

L

Last game

Nov 15, 2024 1.00am

Jamaica 0 - 1 USA

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result

USA 58.94% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 23.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Jamaica 17.48% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

45.74% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.52% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 2.5 53.48% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 3.5 25% ▲ (+0.14)

Under 3.5 75% ▼ (-0.13)

Over 4.5 11.36% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 4.5 88.64% ▼ (-0.08)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 82.11% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 17.89% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 1.5 51.32% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 48.68% ▼ (-0.08)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 55.71% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 0.5 44.29% ▼ (-0.16)

Over 1.5 19.64% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 1.5 80.36% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

USA 58.93%

Draw 23.58%

Jamaica 17.48%

USA

1-0 @ 13.63% ▼ (-0.06)

2-0 @ 11.73% ▼ (-0.04)

2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.02)

4-0 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 4.31%

Total : 58.93%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.1%

0-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.05)

2-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 0.66%

Total : 23.58%

Jamaica

0-1 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 1.6%

Total : 17.48%

Head to Head

Nov 15, 2024 1.00am

0

1

HT : 0 2

FT Independence Park

Damion Lowe 61'
Damion Lowe 61'
Leon Bailey 69'
Leon Bailey 69'
Mason Holgate 76'
Mason Holgate 76'
Mason Holgate 86'
Mason Holgate 86'
Isaac Hayden 90'+3'
Isaac Hayden 90'+3'

Ricardo Pepi 5'
Ricardo Pepi 5'
Weston McKennie 50'
Weston McKennie 50'
Antonee Robinson 69'
Antonee Robinson 69'

Mar 21, 2024 11.00pm

3

1

HT : 0 1

ET Nippert Stadium

Joe Scally 12'
Cory Burke 90'+6'
Haji Wright 96'
Haji Wright 109'

Gregory Leigh 1'
Dexter Lembikisa 51'
Kasey Palmer 54'
Damion Lowe 69'

Jun 25, 2023 3.00am

1

1

HT : 0 2

FT Soldier Field

Brandon Vazquez 88'
Brandon Vazquez 88'

Damion Lowe 13'
Damion Lowe 13'

Nov 16, 2021 10.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Je-Vaughn Watson 8'
Michail Antonio 22'
Javain Brown 40'

Timothy Weah 11'

Oct 8, 2021 12.30am

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Ricardo Pepi 49'
Ricardo Pepi 62'

Kemar Lawrence 1'
Jamal Lowe 34'

Jul 26, 2021 2.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT AT&T Stadium

Matthew Hoppe 83'

Cory Burke 30'
Blair Turgott 50'
Damion Lowe 89'

Form Data

Jamaica 0 - 1 USA

Mexico 2 - 0 USA

USA 2 - 0 Panama

USA 1 - 1 New Zealand

USA 1 - 2 Canada

USA 0 - 1 Uruguay

Jamaica 0 - 1 USA

Jamaica 0 - 0 Honduras

Nicaragua 0 - 2 Jamaica

Honduras 1 - 2 Jamaica

Jamaica 0 - 0 Cuba

Jamaica 0 - 3 Venezuela