International Friendlies
Jan 23, 2025 12.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium
  • Brian White 21' goal
  • Brian White 21' goal
  • Miles Robinson 40' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 40' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 69' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 69' yellowcard
  • Matko Miljevic 72' yellowcard
  • Matko Miljevic 72' yellowcard
  • Caden Clark 77' goal
  • Caden Clark 77' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 90' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 90' goal
  • yellowcard Santiago Alberto van der Putte Campos 39'
  • yellowcard Santiago Alberto van der Putte Campos 39'
  • yellowcard Fernan Faerron 65'
  • yellowcard Fernan Faerron 65'

USA vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Costa Rica

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result

USA 65.42% (+0.30)
Draw 21.1% (-0.19)
Costa Rica 13.48% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.15% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.23% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 50.76% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 27.34% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 72.66% (-0.47)
Over 4.5 12.87% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 87.12% (-0.31)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 85.24% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 14.75% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 57.01% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 42.99% (-0.51)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5 51.79% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 48.21% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 16.61% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 83.38% (-0.12)

Score analysis

USA 65.42%
Draw 21.1%
Costa Rica 13.48%
USA
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 13.02% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.31% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.97% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.9% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.52% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.11% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 65.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.1%
Costa Rica
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 13.48%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 31, 2022 2.05am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Pablo Vargas 51' goal
  • Juan Pablo Vargas 51' goal
  • Anthony Contreras 59' goal
  • Carlos Mora Montoya 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mora 63' yellowcard
  • Orlando Moises Galo Calderon 82' yellowcard
  • Orlando Galo 82' yellowcard
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 14, 2021 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Sergino Dest 25' goal
  • Leonel Moreira 66' goal
  • goal Keysher Fuller 1'
International Friendlies
Jun 10, 2021 12.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Brenden Aaronson 8' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 37' yellowcard
  • Daryl Dike 42' goal
  • Reggie Cannon 52' goal
  • Giovanni Reyna 77' goal
  • yellowcard Keysher Fuller 76'
International Friendlies
Feb 1, 2020 8.55pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ulysses Llanez 50' goal
  • Ulysses Llanez 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald Matarrita 26'
International Friendlies
Feb 2, 2019 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Avaya Stadium (San Jose, California)
  • Walker Zimmerman 72' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Lletget 80' goal
  • Paul Arriola 88' goal
  • yellowcard Keysher Fuller 53'