Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Tom Rothe 28' yellowcard
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 29' goal
  • Leopold Querfeld 63' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 67' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 2'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 21'
  • goal Patrik Schick 71'
  • yellowcard Robert Skov 90'+3'

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Benedict Hollerbach

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 5 - 2 Heidenheim
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result

Union Berlin 22.07% (-0.05)
Draw 22.9% (-0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen 55.02% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.09% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.26% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 44.74% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 32.9% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 67.1% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.72% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.28% (-0.05)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 65.7% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.3% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.99% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.01% (+0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 83.86% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 16.14% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 54.42% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 45.57% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 22.07%
Draw 22.9%
Bayer Leverkusen 55.01%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1 @ 10.09% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.21% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.99% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.6% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.73% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 55.01%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Robin Gosens 9' yellowcard
  • Lucas Tousart 37' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 45'+3' redcard
  • goal Florian Wirtz 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Amine Adli 64'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Alex Grimaldo 23' goal
  • Kossonou Odilon 57' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 73' goal
  • Nathan Tella 83' goal
  • yellowcard Frederik Ronnow 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 2.30pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robert Andrich 46' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 56' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 58' goal
  • Adam Hlozek 68' goal
  • Mitchel Bakker 76' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrik Schick 38' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 59' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Tah 84' goal
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 31'
  • goal Grischa Promel 45'
  • goal Grischa Promel 50'
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 7' goal
  • goal Moussa Diaby 12'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 28'