Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.