Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Goncalo Franco 38' goal
  • Myles Peart-Harris 90'+1' goal
  • Matt Grimes 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Carlton Morris 5'
  • yellowcard Mark McGuinness 30'
  • yellowcard Joseph Johnson 31'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 60'
  • redcard Joseph Johnson 68'

Swansea City vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Swansea 3 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Liam Cullen

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Bristol City 1 - 0 Luton
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result

Swansea City 53.75% (+0.01)
Draw 24.24% (-0.01)
Luton Town 22.01% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.78% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.57% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.43%
Over 3.5 27.64% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.36%
Over 4.5 13.07% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.93% (-0.01)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 81.31% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.69% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.97% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.03% (-0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.44% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 37.55% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.67% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.33% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Swansea City 53.75%
Draw 24.23%
Luton Town 22.01%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.77% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.87% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 53.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.23%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 22.01%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Elijah Adebayo 17' goal
  • goal Matt Grimes 64'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Carlton Morris 39' goal
Championship Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Michael Obafemi 82' yellowcard
  • goal Allan Campbell 14'
  • goal Carlton Morris 72'
Championship Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Flynn Downes 10' yellowcard
  • Joel Piroe 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 34'
  • goal Harry Cornick 72'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 75'
  • yellowcard Reece Burke 88'
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 89'
Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Luke Berry 7' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 15' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 23' goal
  • Henri Lansbury 28' yellowcard
  • Kal Naismith 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Manning 28'
  • goal Jamie Paterson 63'
  • goal Olivier Ntcham 86'
  • goal Joel Piroe 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • goal Conor Hourihane 3'
  • yellowcard Kyle Naughton 28'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bennett 45'+9'
  • yellowcard Freddie Woodman 56'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 65'