/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
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Junior Tchamadeu
47'
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Joon-Ho Bae
50'
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Lewis Baker
74'
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Mark McGuinness
4'
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Carlton Morris
42'
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Millenic Alli
90'+1'
Stoke City vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Stoke City
46.96%
▼
(-2.41)
Draw
25.6%
▼
(-0.09)
Luton Town
27.44%
▲
(+2.50)
Both Teams to Score:
52.09%
▲
(+2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.63%
▲
(+2.08)
Under 2.5
51.37%
▼
(-2.08)
Over 3.5
26.81%
▲
(+1.79)
Under 3.5
73.19%
▼
(-1.79)
Over 4.5
12.52%
▲
(+1.15)
Under 4.5
87.47%
▼
(-1.15)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
78.13%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
21.87%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
44.88%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
55.12%
▲
(+0.31)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
66.68%
▲
(+3.20)
Under 0.5
33.32%
▼
(-3.20)
Over 1.5
30.06%
▲
(+3.36)
Under 1.5
69.94%
▼
(-3.36)
Score analysis
Stoke City
46.95%
Draw
25.59%
Luton Town
27.44%
Stoke City
1-0
@
11.07%
▼
(-1.03)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.84)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.46)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 46.95%
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.84)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.46)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 46.95%
Draw
1-1
@
12.17%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.63)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.39)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.59%
0-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.63)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.39)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.59%
Luton Town
0-1
@
8.01%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.55)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.39)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.29)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 27.44%
1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.55)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.39)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.29)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 27.44%