Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.