Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.