Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 40%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.