Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Oladapo Afolayan 85' goal
  • goal Ko Itakura 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Lukas Ullrich 47'
  • yellowcard Luca Netz 76'

St Pauli vs Borussia Monchengladbach - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
Bayern 3 - 2 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Tim Kleindienst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 40%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

St Pauli 40% (+1.79)
Draw 25.35% (+0.30)
Borussia Monchengladbach 34.65% (-2.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.24% (-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.49% (-1.58)
Under 2.5 47.51% (+1.58)
Over 3.5 30.28% (-1.48)
Under 3.5 69.72% (+1.48)
Over 4.5 14.87% (-1.04)
Under 4.5 85.13% (+1.04)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 76.47% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 23.53% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 42.43% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 57.57% (-0.32)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5 73.54% (-1.92)
Under 0.5 26.46% (+1.92)
Over 1.5 38.36% (-2.63)
Under 1.5 61.64% (+2.63)

Score analysis

St Pauli 40%
Draw 25.35%
Borussia Monchengladbach 34.65%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 9.01% (+0.63)
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 6.52% (+0.50)
3-1 @ 4.18% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.14% (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.51% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.14% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 6.23% (+0.40)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.35%
Borussia Monchengladbach
0-1 @ 8.28% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.31)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.35)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.26)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 34.65%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 24, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
  • Alassane Plea 13' goal
  • Tim Kleindienst 44' goal
  • Lukas Ullrich 54' yellowcard
DFB-Pokal
Aug 10, 2015 7.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marc Rzatkowski 33' goal
  • goal Lars Stindl 54'
  • goal Ibrahima Traore 56'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 63'
  • goal Lars Stindl 67'
  • goal Thorgan Hazard 86'