Taca da Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
Porto
  • Viktor Gyokeres 57' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 73' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 66'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 72'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 90'+3'

Sporting Lisbon vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Porto

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Porto had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 48.65% ▲ (+0.87)
Draw 23.5% ▼ (-0.30)
Porto 27.84% ▼ (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.29% ▲ (+0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.96% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 2.5 42.04% ▼ (-0.99)
Over 3.5 35.55% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 3.5 64.44% ▼ (-0.99)
Over 4.5 18.68% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 4.5 81.31% ▼ (-0.74)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 82.54% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 0.5 17.46% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 1.5 52.07% ▲ (+1.23)
Under 1.5 47.93% ▼ (-1.24)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 71.83% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 28.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 36.14% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 63.85% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 48.65%
Draw 23.5%
Porto 27.84%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 48.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.5%
Porto
1-2 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.11)
0-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 27.84%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Porto
  • Geny Catamo 28' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 72' goal
  • Geny Catamo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 30'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 69'
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 70'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 90'+2'
Portuguese Super Cup
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 3, 2024 8.15pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
ET Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Porto
  • Goncalo Inacio 6' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 9' goal
  • Geovany Tcherno Quenda 24' goal
  • Eduardo Quaresma 72' yellowcard
  • Ruben Amorim 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Diomande 97' yellowcard
  • goal Galeno 28'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 45'+2'
  • goal Nico Gonzalez 64'
  • goal Galeno 66'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 67'
  • goal Ivan Jaime 101'
Taca de Portugal
Porto
May 26, 2024 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Do Dragao
Sporting Lisbon
  • Evanilson 25' goal
  • Joao Mario 37' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 66' yellowcard
  • Ze Pedro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 97' yellowcard
  • Sergio Conceicao 98' redcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 100' goal
  • Francisco Conceicao 103' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 104' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 106' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremiah St Juste 20'
  • redcard Jeremiah St Juste 29'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 30'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 39'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 78'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 81'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 109'
  • yellowcard Otavio 110'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Porto
Apr 28, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Sporting Lisbon
  • Evanilson 7' goal
  • Pepe 40' goal
  • Wendell 76' yellowcard
  • Galeno 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 45'+2'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 87'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 88'
  • redcard Marcus Edwards 90'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Sporting Lisbon
Dec 18, 2023 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Porto
  • Viktor Gyokeres 11' goal
  • Nuno Santos 25' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Quaresma 57' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 60' goal
  • Goncalo Inacio 70' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Esgaio 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pepe 15'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 17'
  • redcard Pepe 51'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 68'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 12, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Porto
  • Youssef Chermiti 90'+7' goal
  • goal Mateus Uribe 60'
  • goal Pepe 90'+4'

Form Data

Guimaraes 4 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Benfica
Gil Vicente 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 Boavista
Brugge 2 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Porto 4 - 0 Boavista
Moreirense 0 - 3 Porto
Porto 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Porto 2 - 0 Midtjylland
Famalicao 1 - 1 Porto
Porto 2 - 0 Casa Pia