European Championship
Spain
Jun 15, 2024 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
Croatia
  • Alvaro Morata 29' goal
  • Fabian Ruiz 32' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 45'+2' goal
  • Rodri 78' yellowcard

Spain vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Croatia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result

Spain 52.3% ▼ (-0.23)
Draw 23.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Croatia 23.96% ▲ (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.72% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.65% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 46.35% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 31.36% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 68.64% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 4.5 15.62% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 84.38% ▼ (-0.28)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 82.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 17.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 51.64% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 48.36% ▼ (-0.13)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5 66.5% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 0.5 33.5% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 1.5 29.86% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 70.14% ▼ (-0.50)

Score analysis

Spain 52.29%
Draw 23.74%
Croatia 23.96%
Spain
1-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
Croatia
0-1 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head

Nations League
Croatia
Jun 18, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET Stadion Feijenoord
Spain
European Championship
Croatia
Jun 28, 2021 5.00pm
3
5
HT : 1 1
ET Telia Parken
Spain
  • Pedri 20' goal
  • Marcelo Brozovic 73' yellowcard
  • Duje Caleta-Car 84' yellowcard
  • Mislav Orsic 85' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 90'+2' goal
  • goal Pablo Sarabia 38'
  • goal Cesar Azpilicueta 57'
  • goal Ferran Torres 77'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 100'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 103'
Nations League
Croatia
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Spain
  • Andrej Kramaric 54' goal
  • Tin Jedvaj 69' goal
  • Ante Rebic 70' yellowcard
  • Ivan Perisic 88' yellowcard
  • Tin Jedvaj 90' goal
  • goal Dani Ceballos 56'
  • goal Sergio Ramos 78'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 88'
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 90'
Nations League
Spain
Sep 11, 2018 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Croatia
  • Saul Niguez 24' goal
  • Marco Asensio 33' goal
  • Lovre Kalinic 35' goal
  • Rodrigo 49' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 57' goal
  • Isco 70' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Santini 12'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 39'
European Championship
Croatia
Jun 21, 2016 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de Bordeaux
Spain
  • Marko Rog 29' yellowcard
  • Nikola Kalinic 45' goal
  • Darijo Srna 71' yellowcard
  • Sime Vrsaljko 71' yellowcard
  • Ivan Perisic 87' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 88' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Morata 7'
European Championship
Croatia
Jun 18, 2012 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Spain

Form Data

Spain 5 - 1 N. Ireland
Spain 5 - 0 Andorra
Spain 3 - 3 Brazil
Spain 0 - 1 Colombia
Spain 3 - 1 Georgia
Cyprus 1 - 3 Spain
Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia
Croatia 3 - 0 N. Macedonia
Egypt 2 - 4 Croatia
Tunisia 0 - 0 Croatia
Croatia 1 - 0 Armenia
Latvia 0 - 2 Croatia

Build-up

Predicted Lineups