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Jan Bednarek
10'
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Jan Bednarek
10'
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Mateus Fernandes
21'
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Mateus Fernandes
21'
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Alexander Isak
26'
-
Alexander Isak
26'
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Alexander Isak
30'
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Alexander Isak
30'
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Sandro Tonali
51'
Southampton vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Southampton Goals
Newcastle United Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.81%
2-2 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 48.82%
Head to Head
-
Lewis Hall
9'
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Fabian Schar
28'
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Joelinton
45'
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Dan Burn
74'
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Ben Brereton Diaz
28'
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Jack Stephens
45'+3'
-
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
73'
-
Samuel Edozie
90'+4'
-
Callum Wilson
54'
-
Theo Walcott
79'
-
Callum Wilson
81'
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Stuart Armstrong
41'
-
Sean Longstaff
5'
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Sean Longstaff
21'
-
Che Adams
29'
-
Joelinton
73'
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Romain Perraud
89'
-
Miguel Almiron
35'
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Chris Wood
58'
-
Joe Willock
62'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
90'+1'
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Stuart Armstrong
25'
-
Jan Bednarek
72'
-
Jacob Murphy
16'
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Chris Wood
32'
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Bruno Guimaraes
52'
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