Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.