Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.