Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.