Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.89%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.