Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2025 8.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Roazhon Park
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 43' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 63' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Greenwood 45'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 49'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+6'

Rennes vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2025 8.00pm
Nice 3 - 2 Rennes
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Arnaud Kalimuendo

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 5, 2025 7.45pm
Marseille 5 - 1 Le Havre
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result

Rennes 36.97% (-0.14)
Draw 25.73% (+0.06)
Marseille 37.31% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.05% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 48.95% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 28.96% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 71.03% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 13.96% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 86.03% (+0.14)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5 74.2% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 25.8% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 39.24% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 60.75% (+0.24)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 74.39% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 25.61% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 39.5% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 60.49% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Rennes 36.97%
Draw 25.72%
Marseille 37.31%
Rennes
1-0 @ 8.95% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 36.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
Marseille
0-1 @ 9% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 37.31%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 4.05pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Roazhon Park
  • Martin Terrier 21' goal
  • Benjamin Bourigeaud 77' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 38'
  • yellowcard Pau Lopez 76'
  • yellowcard Ismaila Sarr 80'
Coupe de France
Jan 21, 2024 8.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Route de Lorient
  • Desire Doue 27' yellowcard
  • Martin Terrier 53' goal
  • Bertug Yildirim 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Veretout 29'
  • yellowcard Jean Onana 36'
  • yellowcard Ulisses Garcia 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Vitor Oliveira 49'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 8' goal
  • Azzedine Ounahi 65' goal
  • Iliman Ndiaye 67' redcard
  • Francois-Regis Mughe 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Baptiste Santamaria 36'
  • redcard Christopher Wooh 61'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Matic 76'
  • yellowcard Amine Gouiri 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Sead Kolasinac 57'
Coupe de France
Jan 20, 2023 8.10pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Matteo Guendouzi 59' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matteo Guendouzi 52' goal
  • goal Matteo Guendouzi 25' (OG)