Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.