Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT Fratton Park

Zak Swanson 27'
Isaac Hayden 33'
Christian Saydee 68'
Colby Bishop 69'
Rob Atkinson 71'
Rob Atkinson 80'
Rob Atkinson 90'+1'

Jacob Widell Zetterstrom 6'
Matt Clarke 21'
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 34'
Ebou Adams 57'
Jerry Yates 70'
Rob Atkinson 75' (OG)

Portsmouth vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Portsmouth vs. Derby - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Portsmouth vs. Derby - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 10 Apr 2025 17:51

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

L
L
W
L
L
W

Championship

L
L
W
L
L
W

Last game

Apr 9, 2025 8.00pm

Coventry 1 - 0 Portsmouth

Goals scored

58

Top scorer

Colby Bishop

Derby County

All competitions

D
L
W
W
W
W

Championship

D
L
W
W
W
W

Last game

Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm

Derby 0 - 0 Burnley

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Jerry Yates

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Portsmouth 47.12% ▲ (+0.10)

Draw 26.41% ▼ (-0.03)

Derby County 26.47% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score:

48.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.85% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 2.5 55.15% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 3.5 23.6% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 3.5 76.39% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 4.5 10.48% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 4.5 89.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 76.6% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 0.5 23.4% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 1.5 42.61% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 1.5 57.39% ▼ (-0.11)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 63.86% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 36.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 27.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 72.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Portsmouth 47.11%

Draw 26.41%

Derby County 26.47%

Portsmouth

1-0 @ 12.28%

2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.02)

2-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)

4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.72%

Total : 47.11%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.5% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.83%

Total : 26.41%

Derby County

0-1 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.03)

1-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 1.91%

Total : 26.47%

Head to Head

Dec 13, 2024 8.00pm

4

0

HT : 3 0

FT Pride Park Stadium

Kane Wilson 8'
Eiran Cashin 23'
Ebou Adams 29'
Marlon Pack 65'

Tom McIntyre 84'

Apr 2, 2024 8.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 2

FT Fratton Park

Patrick Lane 20'
Abu Kamara 27'
Connor Ogilvie 72'
Owen Moxon 77'

Joe Ward 23'
Joe Ward 35'
James Collins 43'

Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Pride Park Stadium

Tyrese Fornah 26'
James Collins 86'
James Collins 88'
90'+5'

Marlon Pack 10'
Regan Poole 28'
Alex Robertson 65'
Colby Bishop 90'+5'

Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Pride Park Stadium

James Collins 71'

Colby Bishop 24'

Nov 18, 2022 8.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Fratton Park

Aug 12, 2015 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Adam McGurk 49'
Conor Chaplin 76'

Jason Shackell 74'
George Thorne 95'

Form Data

Coventry 1 - 0 Portsmouth

Millwall 2 - 1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth 1 - 0 Blackburn

Preston 2 - 1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth 1 - 2 Plymouth

Portsmouth 1 - 0 Leeds

Derby 0 - 0 Burnley

Swansea 1 - 0 Derby

Derby 2 - 0 Preston

Plymouth 2 - 3 Derby

Derby 2 - 0 Coventry

Derby 2 - 1 Blackburn