Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.