EFL Trophy
Feb 4, 2025 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
  • Ronan Curtis 1' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Connor 21'
  • goal Andy Cannon 31'
  • yellowcard Harry Ashfield 45'+2'
  • goal Harry Ashfield 48'
  • goal Elliot Lee 63'
  • goal Mo Faal 82'

Port Vale vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Wrexham

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 42.52% (-0.16)
Draw 27.41% (+0.12)
Wrexham 30.06% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.21% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.88% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 57.11% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 22.01% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 77.99% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 9.52% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 90.48% (+0.20)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 73.44% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 26.55% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 38.23% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 61.77% (+0.37)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 65.65% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 34.35% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 28.94% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 71.06% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Port Vale 42.52%
Draw 27.41%
Wrexham 30.06%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.09% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.02% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.12% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.41%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 9.75% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 30.06%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Nov 12, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Rico Richards 82' goal
  • goal Max Cleworth 51'
EFL Trophy
Nov 7, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
  • Paul Mullin 70' goal
  • James McClean 73' yellowcard
  • James McClean 83' goal
  • goal Joshua Thomas 31'
  • yellowcard Tommy McDermott 90'+7'
League One
Apr 26, 2005 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Chris Birchall 76' yellowcard
  • Michael Walsh 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Crowell 10'
  • goal Andy Holt 21'
  • yellowcard Chris Llewellyn 41'
  • goal Chris Llewellyn 42'
League One
Aug 21, 2004 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Llewellyn 65' yellowcard
  • Andy Holt 72' goal
  • Darren Ferguson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig James 51'
  • yellowcard Robin Hulbert 62'
  • goal Stephen Brooker 64'