Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.