Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Przemyslaw Placheta 67' yellowcard
  • Siriki Dembele 82' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 51'
  • yellowcard James Abankwah 67'
  • redcard James Abankwah 79'

Oxford United vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2025 7.45pm
Hull City 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gregory Leigh

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2025 7.45pm
Watford 1 - 0 Swansea
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.

Result

Oxford United 37.36% (-0.20)
Draw 26.17% (+0.06)
Watford 36.47% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.65% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.09% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 50.91% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 27.21% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 72.79% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 12.79% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 87.21% (+0.13)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 73.5% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 26.5% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 38.31% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 61.69% (+0.29)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 72.99% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 37.64% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.36% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Oxford United 37.36%
Draw 26.17%
Watford 36.47%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.5% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 37.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.16% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
Watford
0-1 @ 9.37% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.14% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.13% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.47%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ryan Porteous 34' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 38' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 54' goal
  • Festy Ebosele 62' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 75' yellowcard
  • James Morris 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tom Cleverley 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh McEachran 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Elliott Moore 75'
EFL Cup
Sep 15, 2020 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET The Kassam Stadium
  • Rob Hall 26' goal
  • yellowcard Marc Navarro 72'
  • goal Ken Sema 89'