Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.