/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
-
Callum Doyle
3'
-
Borja Sainz
45'+3'
-
Marcelino Nunez
54'
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Kellen Fisher
74'
-
Ben Chrisene
89'
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Ben Chrisene
90'+1'
-
Ryan Andrews
26'
-
Daniel Jebbison
36'
Norwich City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F31%2Fjohannes-hoff-thorup.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result
Norwich City
43.96%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
24.76%
▲
(+0.02)
Watford
31.27%
▲
(+0.42)
Both Teams to Score:
57.15%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.17%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
45.82%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
31.86%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
68.14%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
15.97%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
84.02%
▼
(-0.08)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5
79.09%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
20.91%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
46.37%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
53.63%
▲
(+0.23)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
72.26%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
27.74%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
36.69%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 1.5
63.31%
▼
(-0.43)
Score analysis
Norwich City
43.96%
Draw
24.75%
Watford
31.27%
Norwich City
2-1
@
9.11%
▼
(-0.05)
1-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 43.96%
1-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 43.96%
Draw
1-1
@
11.63%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.75%
2-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.75%
Watford
1-2
@
7.46%
▲
(+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-98.38)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.27%
0-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-98.38)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.27%
