Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Austria had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.