Serie A
Gameweek
28
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-
Romelu Lukaku
26'
-
Alessandro Buongiorno
47'
-
Giacomo Raspadori
60'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
64'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
66'
-
Marin Pongracic
88'
Napoli vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
51.28%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
24.66%
▲
(+0.03)
Fiorentina
24.06%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
51.91%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.87%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
50.13%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
27.91%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
72.09%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 4.5
13.25%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
86.75%
▲
(+0.10)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
80.46%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
19.54%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
48.56%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
51.44%
▲
(+0.07)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
64.52%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
35.48%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
27.76%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
72.24%
▲
(+0.16)
Score analysis
Napoli
51.27%
Draw
24.65%
Fiorentina
24.06%
Napoli
1-0
@
11.31%
▲
(+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.27%
2-1 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.27%
Draw
1-1
@
11.72%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.65%
0-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.65%
Fiorentina
0-1
@
7.18%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.06%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
19
-
David Neres
29'
-
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
39'
-
Romelu Lukaku
54'
-
Scott McTominay
68'
Serie A
Gameweek
37
-
Cristiano Biraghi
40'
-
Mbala N'Zola
42'
-
Rolando Mandragora
84'
-
Amir Rrahmani
8'
-
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
41'
-
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
57'
-
Jens Cajuste
70'
Supercoppa Italiana
-
Giovanni Simeone
22'
-
Alessio Zerbin
84'
-
Alessio Zerbin
86'
-
Cristiano Biraghi
51'
Serie A
Gameweek
8
-
Victor Osimhen
45'+5'
-
Giovanni Simeone
90'+1'
-
Jens Cajuste
90'+5'
-
Josip Brekalo
7'
-
Pietro Terracciano
45'+4'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
63'
-
Lucas Martinez
69'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
70'
-
Luca Ranieri
89'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
90'+3'
Serie A
Gameweek
34
-
Victor Osimhen
74'
Serie A
Gameweek
3
-
Lucas Martinez
60'
-
Luka Jovic
68'
-
Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
3'
-
Luciano Spalletti
19'
-
Giacomo Raspadori
90'
-
Tanguy Ndombele
90'+3'