World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 25, 2025 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadionul CPTF
  • Maxim Cojocaru 5' redcard
  • Vladyslav Baboglo 48' yellowcard
  • Ion Nicolaescu 51' yellowcard
  • Vadim Rata 63' yellowcard
  • Ion Nicolaescu 67' goal
  • Mihail Caimacov 90'+1' goal
  • goal Rasmus Peetson 19'
  • goal Rauno Sappinen 30'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Peetson 35'
  • yellowcard Kevor Palumets 44'
  • redcard Kevor Palumets 48'
  • goal Mattias Kait 70'
  • yellowcard Mattias Kait 82'
  • yellowcard Mihkel Ainsalu 90'+2'

Moldova vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 5.00pm
Moldova 0 - 5 Norway

Estonia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 7.45pm
Israel 2 - 1 Estonia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

Moldova 58.83% (-2.06)
Draw 24.41% (+0.61)
Estonia 16.76% (+1.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.25% (+1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.56% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 57.44% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 21.75% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 78.24%
Over 4.5 9.36% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.64% (-0.01)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5 80.59% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 19.41% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 48.76% (-1.29)
Under 1.5 51.24% (+1.29)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 52.43% (+1.98)
Under 0.5 47.57% (-1.98)
Over 1.5 17.09% (+1.43)
Under 1.5 82.91% (-1.43)

Score analysis

Moldova 58.82%
Draw 24.4%
Estonia 16.76%
Moldova
1-0 @ 15.13% (-0.38)
2-0 @ 12.4% (-0.62)
2-1 @ 9.22% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.52)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.29)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.87% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 58.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.35)
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 3.43% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 24.4%
Estonia
0-1 @ 6.86% (+0.38)
1-2 @ 4.18% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 2.55% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-88.57)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.76%