Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Isaiah Jones 16' goal
  • Rav van den Berg 26' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 37' goal
  • Alex Bangura 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Brad Potts 65'
  • yellowcard Andrew Hughes 82'

Middlesbrough vs Preston North End - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Bristol City 3 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Preston North End

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Preston 1 - 2 Cardiff
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Will Keane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Middlesbrough 54.9% (-0.64)
Draw 23.6% (+0.03)
Preston North End 21.5% (+0.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08% (+0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.64% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 48.36% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 29.5% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 70.5% (-0.57)
Over 4.5 14.33% (+0.39)
Under 4.5 85.67% (-0.39)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 82.51% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.48% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 52.02% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.97% (+0.01)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5 63.11% (+0.97)
Under 0.5 36.88% (-0.97)
Over 1.5 26.33% (+0.95)
Under 1.5 73.67% (-0.95)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 54.9%
Draw 23.59%
Preston North End 21.5%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 5.69% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.88% (+0.13)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 23.59%
Preston North End
0-1 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.59% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 3.21% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 21.5%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 22' goal
  • Cameron Archer 52' goal
  • Cameron Archer 58' goal
  • Marcus Forss 90'+5' goal
Championship Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Deepdale
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 35' goal
  • Jordan Storey 90'+1' goal
  • goal Chuba Akpom 8'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Alan Browne 24' goal
  • Dael Fry 35' goal
  • Sepp van den Berg 45' yellowcard
  • Daniel Johnson 45' yellowcard
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 53' goal
  • Ali McCann 56' yellowcard
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 74' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Daniels 45'
  • yellowcard Paddy McNair 45'
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 48'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 58'
  • yellowcard Dael Fry 66'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 72'
  • redcard Paddy McNair 73'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 84'
Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paddy McNair 33' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Browne 63'
  • yellowcard Ched Evans 75'
  • goal Ched Evans 77'
  • goal Emil Riis Jakobsen 81'
  • yellowcard Josh Earl 85'
  • yellowcard Daniel Johnson 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 16, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Jordan Storey 22' goal
  • Marcus Tavernier 51' goal
  • Darnell Fisher 66' yellowcard
  • redcard Alan Browne 36'
  • yellowcard Brad Potts 62'
Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 9, 2020 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Deepdale
  • Brad Potts 62' goal
  • Scott Sinclair 81' goal
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 22'