Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.28%) and 1-3 (4.85%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.