EFL Cup
Man City
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Watford
  • Jeremy Doku 5' goal
  • Matheus Nunes 38' goal
  • goal Tom Ince 86'

Manchester City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Watford

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result

Manchester City 65.96% ▼ (-4.63)
Draw 18.72% ▲ (+2.06)
Watford 15.32% ▲ (+2.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.89% ▼ (-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.68% ▼ (-4.08)
Under 2.5 36.32% ▲ (+4.09)
Over 3.5 41.55% ▼ (-4.61)
Under 3.5 58.45% ▲ (+4.61)
Over 4.5 23.4% ▼ (-3.90)
Under 4.5 76.6% ▲ (+3.91)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 89.74% ▼ (-2.13)
Under 0.5 10.27% ▲ (+2.14)
Over 1.5 66.37% ▼ (-5.10)
Under 1.5 33.64% ▲ (+5.11)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 63.4% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 0.5 36.61% ▼ (-0.84)
Over 1.5 26.61% ▲ (+0.84)
Under 1.5 73.39% ▼ (-0.83)

Score analysis

Manchester City 65.96%
Draw 18.72%
Watford 15.32%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.37)
2-0 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.16)
1-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.92)
3-1 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.46)
3-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.64)
4-1 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.72)
4-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.83)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.31)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.56)
5-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.62)
Other @ 4.95%
Total : 65.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+1.10)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.30)
0-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.72)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.72%
Watford
1-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.64)
0-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.79)
0-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.43)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 15.32%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 34
Man City
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Watford
  • Gabriel Jesus 4' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 23' goal
  • Rodri 34' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 43' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 49' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 53' goal
  • goal Hassane Kamara 28'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Watford
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Man City
  • Joshua King 7' yellowcard
  • Danny Rose 31' yellowcard
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 74' goal
  • Craig Cathcart 85' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 4'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 31'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 63'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Watford
Jul 21, 2020 6.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Vicarage Road Stadium
Man City
  • Adrian Mariappa 80' yellowcard
  • Will Hughes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 31'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 40'
  • goal Phil Foden 63'
  • goal Aymeric Laporte 66'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Man City
Sep 21, 2019 3.00pm
8
0
HT : 5 0
FT
Watford
  • David Silva 1' goal
  • Sergio Aguero 7' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 12' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 15' goal
  • Nicolas Otamendi 18' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 19' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 48' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 60' goal
  • Angelino 81' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 85' goal
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 59'
  • yellowcard Gerard Deulofeu 59'
FA Cup
Man City
May 18, 2019 5.00pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Watford
  • David Silva 26' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 38' goal
  • David Silva 60' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 61' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 68' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 81' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 87' goal
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Doucoure 21'
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 80'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Man City
Mar 9, 2019 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Watford
  • Kyle Walker 6' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 46' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 50' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 59' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Cleverley 18'
  • goal Gerard Deulofeu 66'

Form Data

Man City 2 - 2 Arsenal
Man City 0 - 0 Inter Milan
Man City 2 - 1 Brentford
West Ham 1 - 3 Man City
Man City 4 - 1 Ipswich
Chelsea 0 - 2 Man City
Norwich 4 - 1 Watford
Watford 1 - 1 Coventry
Sheff Utd 1 - 0 Watford
Watford 2 - 0 Plymouth
Watford 2 - 1 Derby
Watford 3 - 0 Stoke

Build-up

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