Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.