Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.