/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fhavlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
-
Issa Soumare
51'
-
Junior Mwanga
59'
-
Zakaria Aboukhlal
9'
-
Vincent Sierro
56'
-
Aron Donnum
63'
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Vincent Sierro
73'
-
Frank Magri
78'
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Warren Kamanzi
90'+5'
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Warren Kamanzi
90'+5'
Le Havre vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F04%2Fdidier-digard.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result
Le Havre
16.12%
▲
(+0.59)
Draw
23%
▲
(+0.56)
Toulouse
60.87%
▼
(-1.15)
Both Teams to Score:
44.76%
▼
(-0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.64%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 2.5
53.35%
▲
(+1.16)
Over 3.5
25.1%
▼
(-0.99)
Under 3.5
74.89%
▲
(+0.99)
Over 4.5
11.42%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 4.5
88.57%
▲
(+0.63)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5
54.03%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
45.97%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
18.3%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
81.69%
▼
(-0.08)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
82.84%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 0.5
17.15%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 1.5
52.6%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 1.5
47.39%
▲
(+1.43)
Score analysis
Le Havre
16.12%
Draw
23%
Toulouse
60.87%
Le Havre
1-0
@
6.13%
▲
(+0.29)
2-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.12%
2-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.12%
Draw
1-1
@
10.8%
▲
(+0.24)
0-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23%
0-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23%
Toulouse
0-1
@
13.9%
▲
(+0.26)
0-2 @ 12.25% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.19)
0-4 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.21)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 60.87%
0-2 @ 12.25% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.19)
0-4 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.21)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 60.87%