Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.