/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnicelog.png)
-
Pedro
20'
-
Valentin Castellanos
35'
-
Valentin Castellanos
53'
-
Mattia Zaccagni
59'
-
Mattia Zaccagni
67'
-
Luca Pellegrini
85'
-
Tom Louchet
19'
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Jeremie Boga
41'
-
Moise Bombito
51'
-
Marcin Bulka
66'
Lazio vs Nice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fmatteo-guendouzi.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Lazio
41.5%
▼
(-2.11)
Draw
26.38%
▲
(+0.41)
Nice
32.12%
▲
(+1.71)
Both Teams to Score:
52.15%
▼
(-0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.53%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 2.5
52.46%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 3.5
25.86%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 3.5
74.14%
▲
(+0.91)
Over 4.5
11.91%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 4.5
88.09%
▲
(+0.59)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
75.03%
▼
(-1.52)
Under 0.5
24.97%
▲
(+1.52)
Over 1.5
40.39%
▼
(-2.15)
Under 1.5
59.61%
▲
(+2.15)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5
69.51%
▲
(+0.66)
Under 0.5
30.49%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 1.5
33.29%
▲
(+0.77)
Under 1.5
66.71%
▼
(-0.77)
Score analysis
Lazio
41.5%
Draw
26.37%
Nice
32.12%
Lazio
1-0
@
10.56%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.26)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.33)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.5%
2-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.26)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.33)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.5%
Draw
1-1
@
12.54%
▲
(+0.19)
0-0 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.37%
0-0 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.37%
Nice
0-1
@
9.04%
▲
(+0.53)
1-2 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.40)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.20)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.12%
1-2 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.40)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.20)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.12%