Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.